Supply and Demand Scheduling

Warning.  What follows are the thoughts of an entitled, whiney old, lifelong resident and recent Pickle Ball aficionado but do not necessarily represent the thoughts of the pickle ball community or truthfully, anybody else.  The following may prove toxic to the young and athletic, good-looking and taxpaying members of this town, but I feel compelled to speak up. 

I remember when Bonnie Park and Jody Graham started Basin Recreation and my wife served as Chairwoman of the Board when the horse people were trying to take over the Basin, so I have some history with the organization, it’s mission and it’s madness.  I have served on County Boards and know the challenge of taxpayers as customers and clients, shareholders and stakeholders, in an affluent resort town.  I know and like many of the people who serve their fee-paying clients daily with their qualified and courteous contributions to our county.  They know we are the customers, and as Nordstrom's and Deer Valley say, the customer is always right, even when apparently entitled.

I know I am a worn-out old guy with no remaining athleticism or skill, with nothing better to do, that likes to waste his mornings before nap time with whacking Pickle Balls at other old people, women, altzhimers patients and handicap players.  I understand the natural lack of respect for our ilk, since I scoffed at P-ball before I started playing, but it is moderate, low impact, social exercise that we play with friends and family. For six hours a week I am not invisible to attractive, younger women in Lycra or tennis skirts.  I also know we can appear haughty and rude when we don’t get our way, or say thank-you enough when we do.  As Don Draper said ‘that’s what the money is for.'  But we just are frustrated, non-athletes posing as Olympians of the whiffle ball courts. I get it that it is a silly game with a silly name, that gets no respect, but it is social, sporty and fun nonetheless.  Like Cornhole.

I see lately that several big recreational bond issues, that included more pickle ball courts, have been rejected because of the exorbitant price and taxpayer fatigue.  Usually if something has open space, trails and recreation in the title we are all in but things seem to be changing, and I am sorry for that.  This in spite of the fact that voters usually pay half the taxes of the non-voting homeowners who make up more than half the district.  So we have been turning down improvements lately that someone else is primarily paying for. We can be ‘make do’ people but that is like cutting bus service or closing liquor stores because they are too successful, to do more with less.  As Yogi said, ‘no one goes there anymore, it is too busy’.

I understand that the goal is to make as many diverse people happy as possible and provide a wide variety of opportunity to all participants, but I find a serious lag between supply and demand I cannot ignore any longer.  While 50 people play P-ball and wait for a court on summer mornings at Willow Creek, tennis courts stand empty waiting for someone to play.  There is no effort to fill those courts with temporary nets that we would certainly yield if someone comes to play tennis.  In the winter the same 50 P-ball people line up to pay and play indoors but must stare at empty basketball courts reserved for phantom basketball players we would certainly yield to if they ever choose show-up.  Reserving these courts for the chosen few who don’t show only helps to preserve the expectation and exacerbate the conflict.  Half of life is showing up, scheduling should be too.

I’m thinking that we don’t need any more pickle ball courts, just some more elastic scheduling and proactive planning priorities that will serve the most customers.  Pickleball players could and would play primarily in the morning, basketball players after school and tennis players in the evenings, if that’s what supply/demand dictates.  Flexibility can be built in to accommodate the non-conformists at times but not dictate inefficiently to all others, all the time.  Staff may have to focus at managing all this and directors may have to do a better job ‘managing by walking around’ and see that their supply chain is meeting the changing demand. This is all the rage these days along with teams and Zoom.

We all remember the 1775 Adam Smith free market where subsidies and disruption of the supply/demand curves lead to inefficiencies, monopolies and government intervention.  I hope that the constituents, customers, clients, shareholders stakeholders, staff, directors, board, county council and managers can come together to help us live with what we have before requesting expensive and politically unpopular remedies or renovations.  We can all collaborate for the most common good and cooperate for the peak public welfare without throwing a lot of money at it.  We can make-do. 

Choose Hard

 

When I was a kid I went to grammar school to learn reading, writing and arithmetic, to play well with others on teams and to define myself individually.  Basically, we were taught how to learn, process and retain.  It was a lark and I underperformed, but I knew it could not last.  In time I must put aside my childish ways.  So, I rejected the easy, local pinhead-public high school and regional social-coed catholic school for a macho-male prep school in The City, where I learned how to think and study hard, compete casually with my peers and socialize successfully with the opposite sex. 

For college I also chose to go to the best school that I got into, that would challenge and simulate me to my limits.  I chose a studious Engineering major so I could get a good job after 4 years, in transportation or water.  It was brutal and Calculus intensive for the first few years to weed out the interlopers and ineligibles and the  uncommitted and undeserving. 

Little did I know that they were not just teaching integers and integrals but exercising the Prefrontal Cortex Lobe of our brains to be problem solvers, direct complex thoughts, achieve goals and generally see the world as engineers.  It was like going to the gym for our brains, every day for two years, to excel at what they call the Executive Functions and Critical Thinking. 

We learned to break big problems down into well-defined and solvable small ones by considering what data we had, what equations we needed, what variables we could rationally exclude and what ones we could guess at with reasonable error averaging and bracketing.  We identified what assumptions were sensitive and needed more work or data and what were the risk probabilities, consequences and costs of our analysis.  How do you eat an elephant?  One bite at a time.

I imagine that this is why pre-meds take Organic, Inorganic, Bio-Chemistry,  and Anatomy to teach them to memorize and derive.  Or why they make it hard on intern and resident doctors, working 48-hour shifts so don’t they miss interesting cases and provide continuity of care and so they can think on their feet if they are tired or distracted.  Or why lawyers are scared to death, worked to death and bored to death with the Socratic Method in Law School, to train them in pressurized analytical and critical thinking and for the difficult  profession that requires courage, tenacity, and flexibility.  They all make it hard on purpose.  So we can make the good little life choices that define our destiny.

When I got out of school, I felt that I didn’t know anything about being an engineer but I had confidence that I knew how to think and learn.  I took this training into Traffic Engineering in The City but didn’t like living where there is traffic.  So I moved out west and studied more holistic Hydrology and Hydraulics, Water Resources and Fluid Mechanics, since there is not much water out west, it is important there and the skiing is better. 

You can get undergraduate and graduate degrees in hydrology but it is not as math oriented and technical.  I chose the hard way, inadvertently, to see the world differently than some of my colleagues who have not had the Frontal Lobe exercise that I have enjoyed. 

I tend to look at things more specifically, numerically and probabilistic, for better or worse,  instead of generally and organically deterministic.  I might look at a million different probabilities of the worst or most likely flood instead of a standard cookbook 100-year flood or rainfall.  I might model upstream backwater hydraulics affects in rivers rather than hydrological downstream capacities or depth.    I may create regressions from past event data to predict future probabilities rather than physically based, hypothetical variables to estimate flood peaks and volumes.  I might create a pipe network analysis to determine system interactions based on pressure, flow, velocity and head instead of static pipe capacity based on area and velocity. 

There is no judgement or value given to either view since we need diversity in thought and perspective, but I wonder if my efforts would have been better spent studying more geology, business, economics, politics, environment, biology, chemistry or computers.  A more well-rounded view of water quality could be helpful or business and personnel management since everything comes down to people and money. 

Our biggest hydrology problems now involve the dearth of water for the Great Salt Lake, the Colorado River, California, groundwater aquifers,  or any place experiencing unsustainable growth and use.  These problems are complex and involve surface and groundwater conjunctive use, politically opposed stakeholders and economically competitive shareholders.  

Communication of the issues is critical, like climate change and predictive model results, historical precedents and water rights as well as artificial boundaries of basins, states and countries.  The nuance and essence of these issues are not just an engineering issue and take all aspects of critical thinking to resolve. 

We are done with the low hanging fruit and are now left with the hard issues and hard solutions.  We procrastinate constantly until these issues become critical (or a fabricated matter of national security) and are worth the emergency, reactive, political capital it will take to address them.  We have chosen hard, as we usually do, and it will be hard to solve, and taxing on a lot of the participants.  

Look to our diversity of expertise and experience and look past our separate cubby holes and self-absorbed silos.  Stay in your lane with what you know, but see the entire road for what really is and what can be.  The solutions will not be easy or simple, unbiased or fair.  They will be complicated and complex, difficult and hard or else they will be unfair, unfinished and unreasonable. 

 When in doubt, Choose Hard. 

Unmitigated Growth in Park City

 Boom, Burden, and the Choices Ahead

Park City’s transformation from a quiet silver‑mining town into one of America’s most in‑demand mountain destinations is a textbook example of rapid, tourism‑driven growth. The city now hosts world‑class ski resorts, the Sundance Film Festival, luxury real‑estate development, and millions of annual visitors — all of which have brought wealth and jobs but also profound social, economic, and environmental stresses.

What growth looks like: numbers that matter

- Park City’s housing stock is heavily weighted toward seasonal and second‑home use: recent local reporting cites roughly 8,585 total housing units in the city, with only about a third occupied as primary residences and a large majority classified as seasonal or vacant. This skew toward non‑primary homes concentrates ownership and reduces the supply available to the workforce

 

- Visitor volumes and resort demand have surged. Conservative counts reported by local and national outlets put annual visitors in the millions; resort skier visits across Park City Mountain, Deer Valley, and nearby facilities reached record levels in recent seasons. Those tourism flows underpin the local economy while driving demand for short‑term lodging and real estate.

- Home prices have escalated into the luxury bracket. Reporting shows dramatic price growth in recent years — with median single‑family sale prices rising steeply and luxury listings reaching multi‑million‑dollar levels — pushing many local workers and middle‑income households out of the market.

- At the same time, regional population dynamics are complex: Summit County’s growth peaked in the early 2020s and showed signs of decline or stagnation in 2022–2023, even as jobs and visitor numbers remained high — a sign that housing supply and affordability are reshaping who can live and work in the area.

Drivers of unmitigated growth

- Tourism and festivals: Reputational assets like Deer Valley, Park City Mountain, and Sundance create a persistent demand for overnight stays and luxury hospitality, which rewards owners of second homes and short‑term rental operators.

- Second‑home buyers and investors: High‑net‑worth purchasers seeking vacation homes or investment properties have bid up prices, making year‑round residency unaffordable for many residents and converting housing into seasonal inventory.

- Short‑term rentals: Platforms such as Airbnb and VRBO have enabled owners to monetize units more lucratively as nightly rentals than as long‑term housing, reducing rental availability for workers. Local reporting and surveys increasingly link short‑term rentals to rent inflation and vacancy patterns.

- Regional spillover and amenity migration: As Park City and its resorts have become more expensive, development pressure has moved into neighboring towns (Heber, Midway, Kamas), driving growth across the mountain corridor and creating new infrastructure and traffic burdens.

Consequences: social, economic, and environmental

- Workforce displacement and service‑labor shortages: Businesses report difficulty recruiting and retaining employees because affordable long‑term housing is scarce; many workers commute from outside the city, lengthening traffic and eroding community cohesion.

- Housing scarcity and affordability erosion: Deed‑restricted affordable units remain a fraction of total housing. Park City and Summit County have set targets (for example, the city’s goal to add roughly 800 deed‑restricted workforce units by mid‑decade), but current production lags need.

- Infrastructure and traffic stress: Seasonal spikes in population generate congestion on mountain roads and strain transit systems, while regional growth increases daily commuter traffic into Park City.

- Environmental pressures: More development and more visitors mean greater water demand, higher wildfire risk in the wildland‑urban interface, and impacts to wildlife corridors and mountain ecosystems unless growth is carefully sited and governed.

- Community character and equity: The increase in luxury development and the prevalence of non‑resident ownership shifts local politics, real‑estate markets, and the sense of an affordable, year‑round mountain community.

Policy responses and their limits

Local governments and nonprofits have pursued a mix of strategies:

- Deed‑restricted housing programs and production targets (the city’s 800‑unit goal is the best‑known benchmark).

- Regulatory approaches to short‑term rentals and incentives for long‑term occupancy (though state rules and market forces limit how far municipalities can go).

- Regional planning and infrastructure investments intended to manage traffic and direct growth to appropriate nodes (e.g., Kimball Junction).

However, several constraints blunt these efforts: limited developable land in the mountain terrain, high construction and labor costs, the profitability of short‑term rentals versus long‑term leases, and political resistance to density in some neighborhoods. The result is a managed but still rapid expansion that often falls short of protecting affordability, the environment, and a year‑round community fabric.

What mitigation would actually require

- Scale affordable housing production well beyond current targets, including public investment, land banking, and stronger inclusionary zoning tied to major resort and commercial approvals.

- Rework rules and enforcement around short‑term rentals so that a fair share of housing remains for long‑term residents (while balancing visitor economy needs).

- Encourage year‑round economic diversification and living‑wage employment tied to housing commitments from large employers (resorts, hospitality groups, large developers).

- Invest in regional transit and road improvements coordinated across Summit and Wasatch counties to reduce commuter dependency and congestion.

- Protect environmental assets through tight land‑use controls in sensitive areas, conservation easements, and water/wildfire resiliency planning.

- Pursue regional cooperation: growth pressures.

This is an Ai article I created in less than 5 minutes.  It is not telling us anything that we don’t already know.  But it is prescient in cutting to the chase through all the noise.  It is alarming in how good it is and how it ends with Tom Clyde's mantra of regional cooperation.  Not surprising since it uses the Park Record and the Wall Street Journal as  it's sources.  It is an example of Ai ability and our inability to recognize and prioritize problems and basic solutions.  It is not rocket science, well maybe a little bit. The point is that when we cut through all the personalities and politics, private interest and preconceived bias, we can usually agree what needs to be done and how to do it.  We just need a computer to tell us sometimes, with its apparent veracity and infallibility.  But we need people to enact and enable these solutions, who can cut thru the nuance and the quantum connections of everything.  In the end it’s all about the people.

Quantum Geek Leap

No, this is not another unsolicited harangue on water or waste, traffic or development, growth or greed, but a refreshing new version of ‘Better Living Thru Chemistry’.  Artificial Intelligence (Ai) is the latest rage, but Quantum Mechanics has been around for more than 100 years.  Ever since Heisenberg postulated with his matrix, and the wave-particle nature of light, that you can’t know position or probability at the same time, we found out that the act of observation actually changes everything. Einstein famously countered with his thought that God does not play dice with the universe.  He was relatively wrong.  This was another great breakthrough in how we see the Universe.  Energy and very little matter are not continuous but occurred in interval bursts called ‘quanta’.  Hence the name.  Electrons jump from different, discrete, orbital clouds, giving off signature radiation of both particles and waves that were not predictable or observable.

We live our lives in personal quantum intervals, performing in bursts and resting when tired.  We rest the uphill ski and leg as we shred, walk, run or cycle.  Sisters and sorority girls cycle at the same time.  We appreciate the pause in music and the negative space in art.   Rivers run in alternating rapid-pool sequences and waves in the ocean come in on 8-13 second intervals.  Water morphs differently when observed.

Quantum extrapolations predicted alternative universes with folds in the fabric of the space-time continuum and begged for new mathematics beyond Newtonian Calculus to solve for the practical results we desperately wanted.  And so we applied it to lasers, transistors and quantum computers.  How cool is that.  

Quantum computers are not binary but use quantum particles called qubits and photons to solve for an infinite range of solutions almost instantaneously.  This may be a great assistance to Ai and Crypto Mining in sensing new phenomena and performing critical matrix operations for better communication and security.  The photons involved, that carry the electromagnetic force enabling all chemistry and biology, use fiber optics rather than copper wire to transmit, uninterrupted, faster than the speed of light, without the heat byproduct that requires so much energy and cooling water.  Even our old fiber-optic internet network can be repurposed to create a future quantum network.  Once again for every problem we create, we find a solution in another dimension and direction.  Necessity is the mother. 

Not only that, but the instantaneous entanglement or influence at great distance, implies a holistic aspect of the universe where all things are connected non-locally and influence each other.  This gives new meaning to John Muir's theory that all things in nature are ‘inextricably hitched’.  This challenges the deterministic, isolationist and reductionist view that we are independent entities and even the religious view that we have independent consciousness and free will.  Our passive self-awareness and subjective experiences are not from our own individual brains but are a part of the universal consciousness that we actively co-create.  We are all one consciousness in the universe, and our actions and observations influence and are influenced by everything else, instantly across great distance.  

This gets beyond the deterministic, predictable, touchy-feely physics and math we are all used to and accept.  It merges mind and matter, cosmos and consciousness.  We live life magically connected to each other where there is a collective-consciousness and there are no coincidences.  We marvel at our interconnected synchronicity and serendipitous meetings with people we have just been thinking about, or find better words and thoughts than the words and thoughts we have been blindly searching for. This to me is a quantum leap in our human development, much like fire, agriculture, the wheel, the a-bomb, the industrial revolution, the information age, the internet, cell phones, Ai, Crypto, shaped skis and suspension e-bikes.  

We also wonder at the similarities of the geometry of the atom and the universe, though the universe is deterministic and Newtonian predictable, while the atom is Heisenberg random and probabilistic.  Are we just an atom on a hair, on a mite, on a dog (god), in a world, in a solar system, galaxy and universe just like our own.  There is so much to know and so much to learn that we should keep our minds open to these universal theories that magically connect physics and math, Karma and luck, Deja Vu and premonitions, accidence and coincidences, philosophy and metaphysics, ghosts and spirits, religion and God, peace on earth and good will towards all men.   

Nostalgic Beauty

I had a cabin in the Catskills one autumn weekend.  The sun was low, and the leaves were brilliant but there was that touch of bittersweet melancholy in the air that comes with autumn.  I met a young woman named Natalie, serving beer at a Halloween festival, who was nostalgically beautiful.  She was cute as a Pumpkin, so I had to tell her so.  I am getting into that habit lately of trying to be spontaneously and positively honest without being creepy.  It’s a fine line and once you cross it there is no going back.  What else do I have to lose at this age.  She had long auburn hair with sparkly green eyes, freckles galore, a slim but sturdy carriage and she looked at me skeptically a fist.  But she ultimately took it well and thanked me graciously for the compliment, chatting me up for a short while.  Sometimes strangers can be more honest and interesting, open and receptive, for a while at least.  For a minute, I was not irrelevant or invisible.

She told me she was a student at Oneonta and was headed back to school soon with her boyfriend after Fall Break.  I shared ‘that was very cool because I had an Annie Hall type friend there, many years ago, almost as cute as her'.  We met on an Olmstead bridge in Central Park and went to a concert at the Woolman skating rink.  We went back to our respective schools, at the end of summer, with a spark in our eyes and a pain in our hearts that faded with every mile and every day.   Absence makes the heart grow fonder, of somebody else.     

But I hitch-hiked from South Bend to New York over several days to see her, for fall break.  We went to the Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown one afternoon and played in the leaves while listening to Billy Joel and Rita Coolidge, drinking cheap beer.  We slept in a corn field under a borrowed blanket and were in love with being in love. I emphatically did not want to go back to school, and I almost didn’t. 

'Whatever happened to her' ?

‘It didn’t work out but I still see her every ten years or so and would see her again, real soon.  The timing was not right.  ‘When’ you meet people counts as much as how, what, where or why, or perhaps our time was just up'. 

'Why' ?

'Maybe we knew it and split before it got bad and there was no going back'. When to let go, without actually giving up, is hard to know.'

'Was it you or her' ?

'We both didn't think we were good enough for each other.  You are never as good or as bad as you think you are.'

'Do you miss that gal who got away' ?

‘Some people are destined to be with you for a minute, or an hour, a day, week, month, year or lifetime.  The past is done, the future will take care of itself, so just live in the present.'

It is like some people are better looking further away than up close – the Monet affect.  Some other people have their space-time limit and then move on – the Heisenberg affect.  I have had some dear friends and lovers for a weekend, a season, a semester and a decade and Heisenberg didn’t make me love them any more or less or any longer.  There are also potential people that I missed, for some reason, that had a zero-relationship-lifespan with me or even negative because of what should of or could of happened.  For that I am deeply sorry.  You only regret the people you haven’t known. 

‘I will see my old friend next week and wondered if she will still be fun and funny, cute and cuddly.

'Good luck with that’, 

'Beauty and strength are an accident of youth and what matters is the personality, character and soul, that stay with us'.  

'Make you own bliss, when you find what its is, one tiny step at a time'.

'You too, thanks'.

'Good talking'.

She nodded and smiled, losing interest as she walked away dismissively, yet so attractively.  Our time was up. 

 

Cormac McCarthy

Passenger and Stella Maris

Most great writers approach their golden years with such skill, discipline and so much to say that they keep writing, just for fun of it, to tell great stories or to just show off.  Steinbeck did.  Falkner did, Harrison did.  Earnest Hemingway cold not and it drove him to suicide.    After critical success, and the confidence it can bring, these writers unleash their formidable talents and just let it fly.  The book or the story is just the structural vehicle for the prose and the wisdom they have to share.  The privilege of their success is to be able to spin yarns of style and grace, unfettered by the pressure to produce and succeed. 

Cormac McCarthy wrote such epic early stories as Blood Meridian, The Road, No Country for Old Men, and the All the Pretty Horses trilogy.  His spare and poetic prose, without much punctuation, can make a story out of nothing, but when he has a story to tell, watch out.  You will want to keep reading for the zingers on every page and paragraph.  Hell, every death dealing sentence he writes is a zinger, reminiscent of early Hemingway and latter Falkner.  As Lucas Opgenorth writes:

Until Blood Meridian, Cormac McCarthy wrote in relative obscurity. With the novel’s publication, he came to be known as a leading figure in American fiction, with his stature still continuing to grow. McCarthy’s novels tend to be dark, dealing with themes of death and violence, but Blood Meridian, according to critic Harold Bloom, is an achievement unlike anything that he wrote before or after. Opacity and a resistance to interpretation dominate the novel, which tells a fictionalized account of a gang of scalpers in the American Southwest around the middle of the nineteenth century the early stages of America’s westward expansion. McCarthy’s writing is as descriptive of the beauty and power of the novel’s landscape as it is of the frequent and grotesque violence enacted by and upon the novel’s characters. The result is a literary portrait of the insignificance of man in the face of nature, the passage of time, and the ungovernable force of violence.

Cormac often makes his classic literature seem subtle and sublime. The reading is almost impressionistic, train of thought and better done in morning light since it is too dense and dark to read at night.  The story is not that important, and it doesn’t matter what he writes, it is how he writes it and what he says on, and in-between, every line. 

Cormac did some of his best writing in his last two books Passenger and Stella Maris, that were released within six weeks of each other in 2022 and before his death in 2023.  They follow Bobby and Alicia Western, two siblings whose father helped develop the atomic bomb, for better or worse.  Bobby is the tortured loner in Passenger, running from generational guilt and lovers loss  Alicia is the tormented but brilliant little sister staying voluntarily at the Stella Maris mental institution.  She is being interviewed by her psychiatrist and her friendly hallucinations for the entire second book, in a format that seems gimmicky at first, but genuine in the end. 

McCarthy was such a big book collector and hobby mathematician and physicist, mechanic and biologist, that his characters are brilliant and troubled, intense and thoughtful.  Characters talk inquisitively about Quantum Quarks, that are all energy but no mass, figuring it out as they go along, and as Cormac writes it. He expounds knowingly on the math and physics of the new science of Hawking and Heisenberg, Feynman and Einstein with the practicality of Fermi and Oppenheimer.

The dialogue is terse and tense, without the parenthetical he-said she-said interruptions of punctuation and qualifiers.  The conversation is snappy and smart, taut and true, almost the way people wish they could really talk.  But the discourse, unrestrained by punctuation, is so easy to read that we assume these are all fast-paced conversations without the natural pauses for thinking and emoting.  Segments on science interconnect effortlessly with nostalgic sections with grandma and grandpa, flirtatious scenes with a waitress and transsexuals, that merge the initial scientific dissertation with the real-people story. 

We write what we know, and everything is at least subconsciously autobiographical, so what else could Cormac write.  These siblings share a guilt-ridden platonic love. Their care for each other unsuccessfully nurtures beautiful Alicia through her hallucinations and suicide attempts.  The hallucinations and fictional caricatures are a little tiresome but the structural parts of these books is strong enough to hold them up.   The stories are bigger than life and almost believable but the story telling is top shelf, out of this world and neatly consistent with Cormac’s professional voice and artistic touch.  A philosopher recommended the first book to me, a psychologist recommended the second.  I will pass them on to my math, physics, psychology and writer friends.  There is something for everyone.  In the end, it is not what you say but how you say it.